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Other Vitals
Population, territory, climate.
Lithuania
Lithuanian population: 3.5 million; 80% Lithuanian; 9.5% Russian-speaking;
7% Polish.
Vilnius population: 580,000
Other large cities: Kaunas 414,000; Klaipeda, 203,000, Siauliai 147,000.
Total Lithuanian territory: 65,300 sq. km., about twice the size of Belgium.
Climate: July and August are the warmest months, with temperatures usually
just under 20°C (68°F); the coldest months are January and February, with 24°F).
Latvia
Latvian population: 2.5 million; 57% Latvian; 40%
Russian-speaking; 2% Lithuanian; 1% Polish.
Riga population: 850,000
Other large cities: Daugavpils 125,000; Liepaja, 100,000.
Total Latvian territory: 64,600 sq. km., a little smaller than Ireland.
Climate: July is the warmest month, with temperatures near 20°C (68°F); the
coldest month is February, with temperatures around 0°C (32°F).
Estonia
Estonian population: 1.4 million;
65% Estonian, 32% Russian-speaking.
Tallinn population: 430,000.
Other large cities: Tartu,105,000; Narva, 80,000; Kohtla-Järve, 70,000; Pärnu,
50,000.
Total Estonian territory: 45,227 sq. km., roughly the size of the Netherlands.
Climate: July is the warmest month, when temperatures hover around 20°C (68°F);
in February, temperatures average -5°C (23°F).
Economic Quotables
It is easy to turn
an aquarium into cold fish soup. It is more difficult to turn cold fish soup back into an
aquarium.
A Polish diplomat after the Soviet collapse on the
difficulties of reviving an economy after it had been so thoroughly changed and ruined by
communist rule.
They could attach rotors to Lenin's head
and feet, and he'd generate a Chernobyl's-worth of power for the new Russia as he's
spinning in his grave.
Bruce Sterling
of Wired online magazine on the extent of the transformation of the Soviet Union
and what the Soviet founder might have made of it.
Tick off
the countries which keep to the shadows: chances are they will be making the kind of
steady progress which attracts investors while boring journalists.
Business Eastern Europe in 1997 praising Latvia last year for quietly
sticking to tough reforms. The publication contrasted Latvia with the basket cases of
Europe, like Albania, Belarus and Bulgaria.
It is the
biggest, most complicated and most promising piece of the new Europe.
from The Economist, April 28, 1998, in an article entitled The
Baltic Revolution: Sea of Dreams, about generally rosy economic prospects for the
Baltics and the whole of the Baltic Sea region.
Estonias like an Eskimos
kayak and can turn on the spot. Bigger countries are like a supertanker that needs 16
nautical miles (to make a turn).
Estonian President Lennart Meri in 1999 arguing that Estonia's small size
enabled it to turn the economy around after the collapse of the Russian market the year
before.
If
someone had predicted right after independence that the Baltic states would soon
experience rapid growth and a rise in living standards, the guy would surely have been
strapped into a white coat and carted off to the nearest funny farm. But alas, thats
exactly what has happened.
CITY PAPER No. 24, August/October, 2000.
The second Hansa.
What many investors are calling increasingly strong
economic ties between the three Baltic countries and the Nordicsreminiscent of the
powerful Hanseatic trading league in the Middle Ages. Trade volumes and Nordic investment
into the Baltics have increased dramatically in recent years.
It's certain that in the 10 years since the
fall of communism, we have lost the illusions we had that someone was waiting for us with
open arms. Our marriage with Western Europe is above all based today on economic reasons.
What the marriage lacks is a bit more love.
Hungarian President Arpad Goencz, during a meeting of Eastern European
presidents including Lithuanian President Valdas Adamkus. Goenczon the
apparent lack of enthusiasm in integrating ex-Soviet bloc nations
The next parliament has to figure out what
Estonia should be known for around the world. Every country has to have its face...Estonia
has to have its Nokia.
Estonian President Lennart Meri saying in 1999 that Estonia needed to
developm new industries which the country could be known for around the world.
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Baltic Economic
Indicators
Growth, GDP per capita, Inflation, Unemployment,
Wages, Trade, Investment
Annual GDP Growth
Around the time of the Soviet collapse, Baltic economies were in free-fall. In 1992, all
three were registering breathtakingly dismal growth figures of between -15 to -30 percent.
But thanks to impressive pro-reform policies, all three were seeing positive growth within
just three years. The 1998 Russian crisis cut into the strong GDP rates, but by early 2000
Baltic growth was back in positive territory. As of 2003, the
three countries were posting some of the highest growth figures in Europe.
In the first quarter of 2003, Lithuanian officials said the economy
expanded by a whopping 9 percent; Latvia and Estonia were anticipating
2003 growth to be around 5 percent.
Lithuanian GDP growth
2002 7 percent
2001 5 percent
2000 2 percent
1999 4.1 percent
1998 5.1 percent
1997 7.3 percent
1996 4.7 percent
1995 3.3 percent
1994 9.8 percent
1993 16.2 percent
1992 21.3 percent
Latvian GDP growth
2002 6 percent
2001 7 percent
2000 5.5 percent
1999 0.1 percent
1998 3.9 percent
1997 8.6 percent
1996 3.3 percent
1995 0.8 percent
1994 0.6 percent
1993 14.9 percent
1992 34.9 percent
Estonian GDP growth
2002 5.5 percent
2001 5 percent
2000 6 percent
1999 1 percent
1998 4.7 percent
1997 10.6 percent
1996 3.9 percent
1995 4.3 percent
1994 2.0 percent
1993 9.0 percent
1992 14.2 percent
GDP per capita
Lithuanian GDP per capita (dollars)
2002 4,674
2001 4,396
2000 3,886
1999 2,884
1998 2,901
1997 2,588
1996 2,129
1995 1,623
1994 1,143
1993 716
1992 374
Latvian GDP per capita (dollars)
2002 3,496
2001 3,233
2000 3,032
1999 2,581
1998 2,485
1997 2,291
1996 2,099
1995 1,777
1994 1,440
1993 847
1992 576
Estonian GDP per capita (dollars)
2002 4,923
2001 4,050
2000 3,751
1999 3,532
1998 3,607
1997 3,187
1996 2,982
1995 2,405
1994 1,530
1993 1,084
1992 707
Annual Inflation Rates
In the early 1990s, while the Baltic states were still in the Soviet ruble zone,
inflation soared to over 1000 percent. As they began introducing their own currencies in
1992-1993, inflation quickly fell to double and then single digits.
Lithuanian inflation
2002 -1 percent
2001 1 percent
2000 1 percent
1999 0.8 percent
1998 5.1 percent
1997 8.9 percent
1996 24.6 percent
1995 39.6 percent
1994 72.1 percent
1993 410.4 percent
1992 1,020.5 percent
Latvian inflation
2002 2 percent
2001 2 percent
2000 3 percent
1999 2.4 percent
1998 4.7 percent
1997 8.4 percent
1996 17.6 percent
1995 25.0 percent
1994 35.9 percent
1993 109.2 percent
1992 951.2 percent
Estonian inflation
2002 4 percent
2001 5 percent
2000 4 percent
1999 3.3 percent
1998 8.2 percent
1997 11.2 percent
1996 23.1 percent
1995 29.0 percent
1994 47.7 percent
1993 89.8 percent
1992 1,076 percent
Unemployment Rates
Jobs created by free-market reforms helped prevent rampant unemployment immediately
following the restoration of Baltic independence. The more recent collapse of the Russian
market prompted greater job losses, as industries exporting to Russia were forced to lay
off workers. Unemployment has tended to be higher in the countryside than in the major
Baltic cities.
Lithuanian unemployment
2002 11 percent
2001 12 percent
2000 12 percent
1999 10 percent
1998 7 percent
1997 6 percent
1996 7 percent
Latvian unemployment
2002 7 percent
2001 7 percent
2000 8 percent
1999 10 percent
1998 9 percent
1997 7 percent
1996 7 percent
Estonian unemployment
2002 11 percent
2001 12 percent
2000 12 percent
1999 5 percent
1998 2.5 percent
1997 2 percent
1996 2 percent
Average Monthly Wage
Average monthly are a little hard to gauge because there is so much variation
depending on which sector you're talking about. In some sectors, like banking, advertising
or Internet technology, salaries are closer to Western levels. Manual laborers and
any public service employees are paid much less on average than their counterparts in the
West.
Lithuanian Average Monthly Wage
2001 270 dollars
Latvian Average Monthly Wage
2001 250 dollars
Estonian Average Monthly Wage
2001 330 dollars
Top Five Export Markets
Prior to 1991, over 90 percent of all Baltic trade went to Russia and the rest of
the Soviet Union. Thanks to their pro-West, pro-reform policies that changed dramatically
within years. Now, the vast majority of trade is with Western Europe. The 1998 crisis in
Russia forced even more Baltic producers to find non-Russian markets.
Lithuania's Top Five Export Markets (percent of total exports, 1999)
1. Germany 15.0 percent
2. Latvia 12.7 percent
3. Russia 6.8 percent
4. Denmark 6.3 percent
5. Belarus 5.9 percent
Latvia's Top Five Export Markets (percent of total exports, 1999)
1. Germany 16.9 percent
2. Great Britain 16.4 percent
3. Sweden 10.7 percent
4. Lithuania 7.5 percent
5. Russia 6.6 percent
Estonia's Top Five Export Markets (percent of total exports, 1999)
1. Finland 19.4 percent
2. Sweden 18.8 percent
3. Russia 9.2 percent
4. Latvia 8.7 percent
5. Germany 7.5 percent
Top Five Investors
Lithuania's Top Five Investors (1992-2002 cumulatively)
1. Sweden
2. Denmark
3. Estonia
4. Germany
5. United States
Latvia's Top Five Investors (by country as of 1999)
1. Denmark
2. United States
3. Sweden
4. Germany
5. Russia
Estonia's Top Five Investors (1992-2002 cumulatively)
1. Sweden
2. Finland
3. United States
4. The Netherlands
5. Norway
Sources: Mostly EBRD; Baltic statistics departments/surveys
for unemployment rates, wages, investors, export markets.
Among other business articles on this site:
The Insider,
what they didn't teach you about at Harvard Business School about
doing business in the Baltics; Mazeikiai
Oil, about Lithuania's giant oil concern; Power
Play, about Americans' purchase of Estonia's main energy plants; Gene
Bank, about Estonia's bid to join the biotech bigtime; The
Good Invasion, Nordic investors buy in to virtually ever economic
sector in the Baltic states; Out
of the Doldrums, the future of Baltic stock markets, Talking
Taxes and more. Also see daily
news on this site for business reports.
CITY PAPER-The Baltic States
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